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Historical Performance Analysis

TSE CDNX NASDAQ NYSE AMEX

We have configured our program to backtest the daily picks for a period of about two years. The detailed charts (please click on the exchange symbol above) present performance as %win and %loss over this period of time.

Note that for each exchange, there are five charts:

  • two charts that show %win for BUY signals executed at the OPEN and day-high,
  • two charts that show %win for SELL signals executed at the OPEN and day-low,
  • one chart that shows total number of buy and sell signals produced within the period.

Clearly, executing a BUY trade at day-low is highly improbable. Similarly, to execute a SELL trade at day-high is equally difficult. You'll notice in our charts that when one enters a position at these extremely favorable conditions, the statistics for %win are incredibly high. Therefore, we also present BUY and SELL trades entered at the day OPEN, which is a more realistic assumption.

Note that one can often get a better entry price than the "day OPEN" during the course of trading on the same day. Therefore, you can expect your success rate to be between the two values presented. For example, for TSE, %win for BUY signals for positions entered at OPEN is 73% whereas for the same signals if you'd entered at day-low, it is 94%. In this case, your probability to succeed will likely be about 73%-94%.

Many of our competitors, in their performance tracking presentations assume that positions are entered at absolute favorable prices (that is day lows or day highs). We believe this may not necessarily be practical. Here, we present you a more realistic picture.





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